6 Jul · 19:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1543
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kuzyshyn
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1509
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Kuzyshyn
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.