6 Jul · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1421
FormLLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1503
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H2-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)