7 Jul · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1576
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1654
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Rodin rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)