6 Jul · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1527
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ivasiv
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1500
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Budnikov covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H56-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.