6 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1468
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Treschetka
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1441
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.