6 Jul · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1457
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Novak
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1501
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Novak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H25-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)