6 Jul · 14:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kaganovych
ELO 1647
FormWWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kaganovych
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lifanov
ELO 1543
FormLWLLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Kaganovych
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H16-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-12)