6 Jul · 20:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1503
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lifanov
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lifanov
ELO 1543
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hainiuk🌟Lifanov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (30)
Fair odds · Lifanov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H20-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.