6 Jul · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1575
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Troyan
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1520
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)