6 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1468
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Treschetka
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1457
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.