7 Jul · 02:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1400
FormWLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lazebny
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1497
FormLWWLL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Lazebny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (46)
Fair odds · Lazebny
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H19-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-10)