7 Jul · 01:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DU
🇺🇦Danylo Us
ELO 1460
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Us
YS
🇺🇦Yaroslav Stepanchuk
ELO 1430
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Us rarely covers set handicap as favourite 6% (16)
Fair odds · Us
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H7-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.