6 Jul · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1550
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bielokon
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lifanov
ELO 1543
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Bielokon rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Bielokon
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H14-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.