6 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1522
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kovalchuk
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1501
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Kovalchuk goes over total as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H14-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.