6 Jul · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1688
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pesternikov
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1609
FormWWWWL
58%
42%
🌟Pesternikov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)