6 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VC
🇺🇦Valentyn Chumak
ELO 1516
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bielokon
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1550
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chumak🌟Bielokon rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Bielokon
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H29-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.