6 Jul · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1457
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Regush
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1531
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Regush
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)