6 Jul · 13:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1522
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kovalchuk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1500
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Budnikov covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.