6 Jul · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1616
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Riadynskyi
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1543
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
🌟Kuzyshyn covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)