7 Jul · 04:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1433
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Shypilov
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1400
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Shypilov goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Shypilov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H33-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.