6 Jul · 16:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1688
FormLWWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pesternikov
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1481
FormLLWWW
71%
29%
🌟Pesternikov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+207
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+207)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)