6 Jul · 18:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1468
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mishchenko
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1505
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Voronenko covers set handicap as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Mishchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H33-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.