6 Jul · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1630
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Yurkov
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1545
FormLWWLW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrabskyi
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H37-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-32)