6 Jul · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Slozka
ELO 1510
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Slozka
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Krokhmal
ELO 1443
FormLWLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H13-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-9)