6 Jul · 17:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1526
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zeniuk
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1547
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kozachuk🌟Zeniuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H33-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.