6 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1568
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hrekh
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1552
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.