6 Jul · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇺🇦Mykyta Fomin
ELO 1465
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hainiuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1503
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Fomin goes over total as underdog 68% (28)
Fair odds · Hainiuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H17-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.