6 Jul · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Slozka
ELO 1510
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1542
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Vorsuliak stays under total as favourite 69% (26)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H9-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.