6 Jul · 23:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Khamurda
ELO 1479
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Khamurda
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1456
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Khamurda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (30)
Fair odds · Khamurda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H56-72
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.