6 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1522
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ivasiv
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1527
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H53-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.