6 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1610
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaikovskyi
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1552
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorsuliak🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)