6 Jul · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1568
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chaikovskyi
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1603
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Chaikovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.