6 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1570
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1574
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Derevianko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.