6 Jul · 20:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1568
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Loboda
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1583
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H33-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.