6 Jul · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1461
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jnr
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1487
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.