6 Jul · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1435
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Seeman
VC
🇺🇦Vaclav Coubal
ELO 1397
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Seeman
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.