6 Jul · 11:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1435
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jnr
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1487
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)