6 Jul · 16:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1585
FormWWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kushnirenko
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kiilo
ELO 1419
FormWLLLL
67%
33%
🌟Kiilo rarely covers set handicap as underdog 22% (18)
Fair odds · Kushnirenko
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H24-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-11)