6 Jul · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1637
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kryshtal
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1585
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H32-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-23)