6 Jul · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1347
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kolos
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolos
ELO 1405
FormWWWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kolos
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H18-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-13)