6 Jul · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TB
🇺🇦Tadeas Bertho
ELO 1579
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bertho
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1523
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Kolman covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Bertho
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)