6 Jul · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TB
🇺🇦Tadeas Bertho
ELO 1579
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bertho
JJ
🇺🇦Jan Simecek Jnr
ELO 1547
FormWLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Bertho
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.