6 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1792
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Horokh
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1721
FormWLWWW
58%
42%
🌟Balabei stays under total as underdog 70% (23)
Fair odds · Horokh
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H140-79
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (140-79)