6 Jul · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1508
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bertho
TB
🇺🇦Tadeas Bertho
ELO 1579
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Merkl covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Bertho
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)