6 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇺🇦Dominik Horak
ELO 1561
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Semrad
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1564
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Semrad
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.