6 Jul · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1537
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svoboda
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1515
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 63% (41)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.