6 Jul · 18:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1721
FormWLWWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Balabei
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kiilo
ELO 1419
FormWLLLL
78%
22%
🌟Kiilo rarely covers set handicap as underdog 22% (18)
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~72 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
18%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+302
H2H48-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+302)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-6)