7 Jul · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1304
FormLLLWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Simchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1549
FormLLLLW
26%
74%
🌟Urezchenko rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (17)
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+245
H2H16-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+245)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-3)