7 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1441
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1461
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ziakun🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H42-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.