7 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1441
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1505
FormLWLLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ziakun🌟Maliuk goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H21-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)